Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.449264 0.511403 0.577731 0.653655 0.738007 0.828698 0.933424
2025-11-02 0.345593 0.430030 0.526996 0.645970 0.787354 0.949311 1.148143
2025-11-09 0.272212 0.368222 0.486199 0.640353 0.834811 1.070188 1.374660
2025-11-16 0.219663 0.321434 0.454612 0.638899 0.884112 1.195650 1.617266
2025-11-23 0.177552 0.280107 0.422538 0.630406 0.920801 1.306137 1.848922
2025-11-30 0.150894 0.255091 0.407840 0.641630 0.982536 1.452284 2.137058
2025-12-07 0.125115 0.226492 0.383186 0.634273 1.015609 1.559994 2.379231
2025-12-14 0.106996 0.206519 0.368086 0.638060 1.063403 1.690054 2.659937
2025-12-21 0.089769 0.184794 0.346763 0.628752 1.089076 1.788035 2.899012
2025-12-28 0.081142 0.176626 0.346337 0.652267 1.166751 1.967747 3.269117
2026-01-04 0.073398 0.168662 0.344936 0.673380 1.241399 2.146635 3.647516
2026-01-11 0.064565 0.156934 0.335061 0.678291 1.288815 2.284702 3.969402
2026-01-18 0.056275 0.144992 0.323500 0.679404 1.330639 2.417895 4.294161
2026-01-25 0.049033 0.133926 0.312085 0.679370 1.370139 2.549465 4.623746
2026-02-01 0.042714 0.123679 0.300832 0.678195 1.407069 2.678500 4.955873
2026-02-08 0.037490 0.114956 0.291460 0.679456 1.448106 2.816445 5.309682
2026-02-15 0.032347 0.105303 0.278642 0.672140 1.471975 2.925237 5.618903
2026-02-22 0.029274 0.100437 0.275779 0.684988 1.535165 3.106861 6.062313
2026-03-01 0.025355 0.092318 0.264185 0.677784 1.558044 3.216445 6.384202
2026-03-08 0.022590 0.086898 0.258223 0.682140 1.604097 3.370632 6.792221
2026-03-15 0.019490 0.079665 0.246659 0.672483 1.620366 3.469605 7.104707
2026-03-22 0.018308 0.078321 0.249985 0.697519 1.710783 3.713620 7.692954
2026-03-29 0.017107 0.076632 0.252156 0.719958 1.797062 3.953719 8.283861